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Prediction markets
14 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$29K
Vol.
Aug 2
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
37 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
58%
1.15–1.19ºC
23%
4 more
$54K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
48 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$125K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
August 30
49%
December 31
48%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
37 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?
0
46%
Yes
No
1
31%
Yes
No
NEW
$1.1K
Vol.
Aug 10
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$54
42 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5"
98%
>3"
3%
5 more
$7.8K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
44 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
0
1%
Yes
No
1
77%
Yes
No
$30K
Vol.
Aug 3
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
48 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
60-79
25%
100–119
25%
7 more
$533.71
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$102
41 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
700mm+
38%
500-525mm
35%
8 more
$809.11
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$66
34 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
100–129
49%
130–159
38%
7 more
$2.7K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$52
42 trading now
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
>1.29ºC
40%
1.25–1.29ºC
35%
4 more
$1.5K
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
30 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
5000+
99%
2500+
99%
5 more
$41K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
38 trading now
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