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Prediction markets
15 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$4.70M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
67 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$1.08M
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$161
50 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
1%
5 more
$1.71M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$2.19M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$161
61 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?
50-74
55%
75-99
22%
3 more
$47K
Vol.
Aug 2
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
44 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
31%
chance
Yes
No
$106K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$82
52 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
51%
December
13%
5 more
$163K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$49
45 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
40+
57%
30+
50%
4 more
NEW
$2.1K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
36 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
August 13
23%
July 31
23%
30 more
$67K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$109
52 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
99%
40-60
1%
3 more
$300K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 27?
<200
69%
200-219
24%
2 more
$4.8K
Vol.
Aug 2
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
39 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
98%
285M
59%
4 more
$33K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
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